Posts Tagged ‘uncertainty’

SCOTUS Prediction Markets Fail

Posted by: Paul Hewitt on June 28, 2012

Predicting Facebook’s Closing Price After The IPO

Posted by: Paul Hewitt on June 15, 2012

Not So Intelligent Collective Intelligence

Posted by: Paul Hewitt on June 14, 2012

In Search of a Better Prediction Model

Posted by: Paul Hewitt on August 14, 2011

Disaster Hits Toronto (Few Saw it Coming)!

Posted by: Paul Hewitt on February 1, 2011

Prediction Market Prospects 2010

Posted by: Paul Hewitt on January 12, 2011

Paul Krugman Makes a Boo Boo

Posted by: Paul Hewitt on March 23, 2010

The Future of Futarchy

Posted by: Paul Hewitt on January 4, 2010

The Essential Prerequisite for Adopting Prediction Markets

Posted by: Paul Hewitt on December 21, 2009

Decision-makers May be Smarter than Manipulators

Posted by: Paul Hewitt on November 26, 2009

Is It Enough to Provide Incentives?

Posted by: Paul Hewitt on November 26, 2009

Use and Abuse of Public Policy Prediction Markets

Posted by: Paul Hewitt on November 25, 2009

Why Public Prediction Markets Fail

Posted by: Paul Hewitt on June 11, 2009

A Lesson in Prediction Markets from the Game of Craps

Posted by: Paul Hewitt on June 11, 2009

The Forgotten Principle Behind Prediction Markets

Posted by: Paul Hewitt on May 26, 2009

Calibration = Prediction Market Accuracy?

Posted by: Paul Hewitt on May 26, 2009

The Future of Prediction Markets – Part I

Posted by: Paul Hewitt on May 5, 2009

Prediction Market Accuracy and Usefulness

Posted by: Paul Hewitt on May 3, 2009

Judging Accuracy in Prediction Markets

Posted by: Paul Hewitt on April 25, 2009

Practical Enterprise Prediction Markets

Posted by: Paul Hewitt on April 5, 2009

Measuring Market Entropy in Prediction Markets

Posted by: Paul Hewitt on March 14, 2009

My Current Issues List

Posted by: Paul Hewitt on March 9, 2009

Market Scoring Rules in Prediction Markets

Posted by: Paul Hewitt on March 9, 2009

Comment on Mercury’s Blog about the Economist Article

Posted by: Paul Hewitt on March 9, 2009

Comment on Economist article “An Uncertain Future” Feb. 26, 2009

Posted by: Paul Hewitt on March 8, 2009