Archive for the ‘Prediction Markets’ Category

SCOTUS Prediction Markets Fail

Posted by: Paul Hewitt on June 28, 2012

Good Judgment Project Round 2

Posted by: Paul Hewitt on June 19, 2012

Predicting Facebook’s Closing Price After The IPO

Posted by: Paul Hewitt on June 15, 2012

Not So Intelligent Collective Intelligence

Posted by: Paul Hewitt on June 14, 2012

15,000 Visitors!

Posted by: Paul Hewitt on March 17, 2012

Status Quo Predicting

Posted by: Paul Hewitt on March 15, 2012

Prediction Market Design Issues

Posted by: Paul Hewitt on February 8, 2012

Good Judgment Project Performance

Posted by: Paul Hewitt on January 5, 2012

The Good Judgment Project

Posted by: Paul Hewitt on November 5, 2011

In Search of a Better Prediction Model

Posted by: Paul Hewitt on August 14, 2011

The Forgotten Principle Remembered

Posted by: Paul Hewitt on August 10, 2011

The Oscars 2011 – The Good, The Bad & The Ugly

Posted by: Paul Hewitt on February 28, 2011

Disaster Hits Toronto (Few Saw it Coming)!

Posted by: Paul Hewitt on February 1, 2011

Prediction Market Prospects 2010

Posted by: Paul Hewitt on January 12, 2011

Paul Krugman Makes a Boo Boo

Posted by: Paul Hewitt on March 23, 2010

Truth in Advertising – Meet Prediction Markets

Posted by: Paul Hewitt on March 14, 2010

Oscars Prediction Markets Get it Right

Posted by: Paul Hewitt on March 8, 2010

The Future of Futarchy

Posted by: Paul Hewitt on January 4, 2010

Tories to Pay Dearly for Common Knowledge

Posted by: Paul Hewitt on January 1, 2010

The Essential Prerequisite for Adopting Prediction Markets

Posted by: Paul Hewitt on December 21, 2009

Measuring Decision Market Accuracy

Posted by: Paul Hewitt on December 1, 2009

Traders DO Need to Know the Direction of Manipulation

Posted by: Paul Hewitt on November 27, 2009

Decision-makers May be Smarter than Manipulators

Posted by: Paul Hewitt on November 26, 2009

Is It Enough to Provide Incentives?

Posted by: Paul Hewitt on November 26, 2009

Use and Abuse of Public Policy Prediction Markets

Posted by: Paul Hewitt on November 25, 2009

Idea Pageants = Prediction Markets?

Posted by: Paul Hewitt on November 24, 2009

The Future of Prediction Markets – Part II

Posted by: Paul Hewitt on November 6, 2009

More Public Prediction Market Failures

Posted by: Paul Hewitt on October 20, 2009

Corporate Prediction Market Success is Elusive

Posted by: Paul Hewitt on September 30, 2009

Why Public Prediction Markets Fail

Posted by: Paul Hewitt on June 11, 2009

A Lesson in Prediction Markets from the Game of Craps

Posted by: Paul Hewitt on June 11, 2009

The Forgotten Principle Behind Prediction Markets

Posted by: Paul Hewitt on May 26, 2009

Calibration = Prediction Market Accuracy?

Posted by: Paul Hewitt on May 26, 2009

The Future of Prediction Markets – Part I

Posted by: Paul Hewitt on May 5, 2009

Prediction Market Accuracy and Usefulness

Posted by: Paul Hewitt on May 3, 2009

A Cheaper Alternative to Prediction Markets?

Posted by: Paul Hewitt on April 29, 2009

Judging Accuracy in Prediction Markets

Posted by: Paul Hewitt on April 25, 2009

an Analysis of HP’s Real Prediction Markets

Posted by: Paul Hewitt on April 12, 2009

Testing Prediction Markets?

Posted by: Paul Hewitt on April 10, 2009

Practical Enterprise Prediction Markets

Posted by: Paul Hewitt on April 5, 2009

Measuring Market Entropy in Prediction Markets

Posted by: Paul Hewitt on March 14, 2009

My Current Issues List

Posted by: Paul Hewitt on March 9, 2009

Market Scoring Rules in Prediction Markets

Posted by: Paul Hewitt on March 9, 2009

Comment on Mercury’s Blog about the Economist Article

Posted by: Paul Hewitt on March 9, 2009